Details of a Researcher - FUDEYASU Hironori

Papers - FUDEYASU Hironori

about 74

The unique features of Typhoon Rai (2021): an observational study (vol 121, pg 8279, 2025)

Petilla, CER; Olaguera, LMP; Cruz, FAT; Villarin, JRT; Fudeyasu, H; Yoshida, R; Matsumoto, J

NATURAL HAZARDS 121 ( 18 ) 22293 - 22296 2025.11

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Statistical Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification with Explainable AI

Horinouchi, T; Yanase, T; Ohta, Y; Matsuoka, D; Kitamoto, A; Shimada, U; Yoshida, R; Fudeyasu, H

WEATHER AND FORECASTING 40 ( 10 ) 1859 - 1875 2025.10

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Historical Review of Research Activities toward Typhoons/Hurricanes Modification in Japan and the United States

Abe, M; Fudeyasu, H; Sasaoka, M

JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN 103 ( 3 ) 305 - 320 2025.6 [Reviewed] [Invited]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Authorship：Corresponding author Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：公益社団法人日本気象学会 Joint Work

This study summarizes the discussions on typhoons or hurricanes modification in Japan and the United States (US) from the 1940s to the present, based on a survey of past literature and interviews with relevant personnel. Research on hurricane modification began approximately 80 years ago with Project Cirrus (1947–1952) and Project Stormfury (1962–1983) run by the US government. This project was initiated following a US proposal to Japan in 1965, which aimed to conduct field experiments using cloud seeding techniques for typhoons over the western North Pacific. The proposal sparked in-depth discussions in both academia and the National Diet of Japan. In 1971, the typhoon committee conditionally approved the field experiment in the western North Pacific, but ultimately, the typhoon field experiment was not conducted. This paper identifies the factors that led to the decision not to proceed with the typhoon field experiment despite significant progress, as well as the reasons underlying the decline of typhoon modification and general weather modification research in Japan from that period onward.

Demonstration of Artificial Bay Windbreak Experiments for Reduction of Typhoon Winds and Resultant Storm Surges in Tokyo Bay

Fudeyasu, H; Ito, K; Mori, N; Kiyohara, Y; Araki, Y; Miyashita, T; Yoshioka, H

SOLA 21 ( 0 ) 85 - 93 2025.2 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Authorship：Lead author,　Corresponding author Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：公益社団法人日本気象学会 Joint Work

This study evaluated the potential for reducing storm surges in experiments designed to artificially increase the surface drag coefficient (Cd) at the entrance of Tokyo Bay. Using atmospheric and storm surge models, we varied Cd within the range 0.005-0.025 and the area of increased friction. The results showed that increased friction at the entrance to Tokyo Bay led to decreased wind speeds, significantly reducing storm surge height, particularly at Tokyo. Under the maximum friction increase, the storm surge height at Tokyo decreased by up to 24%. The storm surge reduction was most effective when Cd was increased to 0.010, with further increases in Cd or the area of friction yielding diminishing wind speed and storm surge. The findings suggest a novel approach, similar to traditional coastal windbreak forests, for mitigating meteorological and oceanographic disasters, with potential applications for protecting urban areas within bays from storm surges.

Assessing global ensemble systems' forecasts of tropical cyclone genesis in differing environmental flow regimes in the western North Pacific

Kawabata, Y; Yamaguchi, M; Fudeyasu, H; Yoshida, R

TROPICAL CYCLONE RESEARCH AND REVIEW 13 ( 4 ) 344 - 355 2024.12 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Case study of high waves in the South Pacific generated by Tropical Cyclone Harold in 2020

Singh, A; Kohno, N; Fudeyasu, H

TROPICAL CYCLONE RESEARCH AND REVIEW 13 ( 3 ) 147 - 160 2024.9 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Typhoon Associated with Strong Winds during the 1923 Great Kanto Earthquake

Hashida, T; Fudeyasu, H; Kiyohara, Y

SOLA 20 ( 0 ) 331 - 338 2024.8 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：公益社団法人日本気象学会 Joint Work

This study reproduced the meteorological conditions, including typhoon movements near Japan and wind changes over Tokyo, during the 1923 Great Kanto Earthquake, using a numerical simulation model (Weather Research and Forecasting v4.3) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) atmospheric reanalysis of the 20th century (ERA-20C). The reproduced meteorological conditions coincided in many respects with weather analysis maps and observations produced by the Central Meteorological Observatory. Strong southerly winds around noon on the day of the earthquake were associated with a typhoon on the coast of the Sea of Japan and appear to have had a significant impact on the spread of fires immediately after the earthquake. However, the strong evening and nighttime winds observed at the Tokyo station are likely to have been local phenomena associated with the fire spread, which caused severe damage in Tokyo after the earthquake.

Shallow Coastal Water Responses During the Near Landfall Intensification of Tropical Cyclones in the South China Sea

Xiang, CY; Fudeyasu, H; Shimada, U; Yoshida, R

SOLA 20 ( 0 ) 55 - 61 2024.3 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：公益社団法人日本気象学会 Joint Work

Shallow coastal seawater response during the passage of near-landfall intensification (NLI) tropical cyclones (TCs) and non-NLI TCs was examined using oceanic and atmospheric reanalysis data and observations. The sea surface temperature ahead of the NLI-TC track is maintained or even increases when NLI-TC is approaching the land. The magnitude of the wind stress, which plays an important role in the NLI process, is related to the zonal surface wind on the right side of the tracks. Coastal mixed layer warming can be explained by Ekman transport under sustained wind stress due to surface wind forcing. The successive deepening of the coastal ocean boundary layer and the increase in warming in the subsurface seawater temperature by an average of 0.3°C, could maintain thermal capacity in a certain degree. This shallow coastal water response could partly explain the NLI progress in the northern South China Sea, indicating the importance of coastal ocean dynamics and air-sea interactions.

SolaCam: A Deep Learning Model for Solar Radiation Estimation Using Consumer Cameras

Sugiyama, D; Onishi, R; Fudeyasu, H

SOLA 19 ( 0 ) 246 - 252 2023.10 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Authorship：Corresponding author Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：公益社団法人日本気象学会 Joint Work

This study proposes a deep learning approach called SolaCam to accurately estimate solar radiation from the images captured by cameras. The proposed SolaCam performs deep learning by utilizing both image features and theoretical maximum solar radiation that vary with time and location. The trained model is capable of accurately estimating solar radiation on the ground surface from sky images captured by smartphones, fixed-point cameras, and other devices. The developed SolaCam can use a remote sensing function, which estimates solar radiation, on inexpensive camera-equipped devices.

Quantification and attribution of ocean cooling induced by the passages of typhoons Faxai (2019) and Hagibis (2019) over the same region using a high-resolution ocean model and cooling parameters

Iida, K; Fudeyasu, H; Tanaka, Y; Iizuka, S; Miyamoto, Y

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS 24 ( 9 ) 2023.9 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Authorship：Corresponding author Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Tropical cyclogenesis: Controlling factors and physical mechanisms

Rajasree, VPM; Cao, X; Ramsay, H; Ocasio, KMN; Kilroy, G; Iii, GRA; Chang, MH; Nam, CC; Fudeyasu, H … Show more authors

TROPICAL CYCLONE RESEARCH AND REVIEW 12 ( 3 ) 165 - 181 2023.9 [Reviewed] [Invited]

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Positive cloud-toground lightning characteristics in the eyewall of Typhoon Faxai (2019) observed by Tokyo Lightning Mapping Array (vol 100, pg 979, 2022)

Sakurai Namiko, Fudeyasu Hironori, Krehbiel Paul R., Thomas Ronald J., Rison William, Rodeheffer Da … Show more authors

JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN 101 ( 1 ) 98 - 98 2023.2

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

CORRIGENDUM: Positive Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Characteristics in the Eyewall of Typhoon Faxai (2019) Observed by Tokyo Lightning Mapping Array

SAKURAI Namiko, FUDEYASU Hironori, KREHBIEL Paul R., THOMAS Ronald J., RISON William, RODEHEFFER Da … Show more authors

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II 101 ( 1 ) 98 - 98 2023

DOI CiNii Research

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Meteorological Society of Japan Joint Work

Contributions of the Large-Scale Environment to the Typhoon Genesis of Faxai (2019)

FUDEYASU Hironori, SHIMADA Udai, OIKAWA Yoshinori, EITO Hisaki, WADA Akiyoshi, YOSHIDA Ryuji, HORIN … Show more authors

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II 100 ( 4 ) 617 - 630 2022.8 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Meteorological Society of Japan Joint Work

This study investigated the atmospheric and oceanic contributions to the genesis of Typhoon Faxai in 2019. Our statistical analysis using the tropical cyclone genesis score (TGS) attributed the tropical disturbance that developed into Faxai (Pre-Faxai) to easterly waves (EWs). The EW score evaluated by a grid version of the TGS (Grid-EW) averaged around the occurrence of Pre-Faxai was approximately twice as large as the climatological mean, and it was the second largest value in the past 38 years. The Pre-Faxai area with high Grid-EW scores could be traced back to the eastern North Pacific (ENP) around August 25, 2019. The lower-troposphere environment characterized by high Grid-EW scores was favorable for vortex formation because it provided a containment area for moisture entrained by the developing circulation or lofted by the deep convection therein. The Pre-Faxai area with high Grid-EW scores moved westward due to the background easterly flow over the ENP and then entered the western North Pacific (WNP). The Typhoon Intensity Forecast Scheme (TIFS) showed that the important environments for its genesis were ocean conditions and the vertical wind shear. The oceanic conditions contributed to the development of Pre-Faxai as it traveled over the WNP. The enhancement of vertical wind shear and subsequent suppression of the development of Pre-Faxai were caused by the lower-troposphere easterly winds associated with high EW scores. They were also caused by upper-troposphere westerly winds associated with an upper cold low northwest of Pre-Faxai. When the vertical shear decreased with weakening of the upper cold low, Pre-Faxai reached tropical storm intensity on September 4. Therefore, TGS and TIFS detected Pre-Faxai 10 days before the typhoon arose, which indicates that monitoring environmental factors such as EW and vertical wind shear are important for disaster prevention.

Investigation of Characteristics of Maximum Storm Surges in Japanese Coastal Regions Caused by Typhoon Jebi (2018) Based on Typhoon Track Ensemble Simulations

Otaki Toshikazu, Fudeyasu Hironori, Kohno Nadao, Takemi Tetsuya, Mori Nobuhito, Iida Koki

JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN 100 ( 4 ) 661 - 676 2022.8

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Investigation of characteristics of maximum storm surges in Japanese coastal regions caused by 2018 Typhoon Jebi based on typhoon track ensemble simulations

Otaki, T.,H. Fudeyasu, H. Kohno, T. Takemi, N. Mori, K. Iida

J. Meteor. Soc. Japan 2022 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Single Work

Contributions of the large-scale environment to the typhoon genesis of Faxai (2019)

Fudeyasu, H., and U. Shimada, Y. Oikawa, H. Eito, A. Wada, R. Yoshida, and T. Horinouchi

J. Meteor. Soc. Japan 2022 [Reviewed]

Authorship：Lead author,　Corresponding author Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Single Work

Positive Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Characteristics in the Eyewall of Typhoon Faxai (2019) Observed by Tokyo Lightning Mapping Array

SAKURAI Namiko, FUDEYASU Hironori, KREHBIEL Paul R., THOMAS Ronald J., RISON William, RODEHEFFER Da … Show more authors

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II 100 ( 6 ) 979 - 993 2022

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Meteorological Society of Japan Joint Work

Although a number of studies have been conducted of the lightning activity in hurricanes and typhoons, little information has been obtained on the three-dimensional (3-D) structure of the lightning, or how it is related to the precipitation structures within the storms. Here, we utilize observational data from the 3-D Tokyo Lightning Mapping Array (Tokyo LMA), a Japan Meteorological Agency C-band Doppler radar, and the Japanese Lightning Detection Network (JLDN) to conduct a study of the lightning activity during Typhoon Faxai (2019) in comparison with the storm's precipitation structure. This is done for the dissipating stage of the typhoon, when the eyewall was well within the range of the instruments and undergoing a surge in lightning activity. Of particular interest in the surge was the occurrence of numerous positive cloud-to-ground (+CG) lightning flashes. Detailed study of the Tokyo LMA and JLDN data shows that, out of 52 flashes during the surge, 29 flashes or 56 % produced positive strokes to ground, an unheard of number considering that, from the lightning and 3-D radar structures, the storm appeared to be normally electrified, and under such circumstances would produce negative rather than positive strokes to ground. It also focuses attention on the question of how +CGs are produced in tropical cyclones in the first place. Based on a lack of −CG strokes and the LMA observations showing that the +CG strokes are produced mid-way or toward the end of normal polarity intracloud (IC) flashes, it appears that the dissipating storm cells have a depleted or horizontally sheared mid-level negative charge, such that an IC flash propagating into and through upper positive storm charge effectively funnels a steadily increasing amount of positive charge into the mid-level initiation region, eventually causing the positive breakdown of the IC flash to turn downward toward ground, producing a +CG stroke.

Investigation of Characteristics of Maximum Storm Surges in Japanese Coastal Regions Caused by Typhoon Jebi (2018) Based on Typhoon Track Ensemble Simulations

OTAKI Toshikazu, FUDEYASU Hironori, KOHNO Nadao, TAKEMI Tetsuya, MORI Nobuhito, IIDA Koki

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II 100 ( 4 ) 661 - 676 2022

DOI CiNii Research

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Meteorological Society of Japan Joint Work

The maximum storm surges caused by Typhoon Jebi (2018) were examined using a storm surge model and using track ensemble simulations based on a meteorological model and a parametric tropical cyclone (TC) model. The storm surge at Osaka Port was estimated more accurately by the meteorological model than the parametric TC model. The differences between both models were due to a “wind setup effect”, where the topography enhanced surface winds over Osaka Bay. The typhoon-track ensemble simulations demonstrated that the maximum storm surge was dependent on the perturbation of the track of Typhoon Jebi along the entire coast of the Japanese Islands, including the main island, Kyushu, and Shikoku. Open shallow bays had maximum storm surges exceeding 2.50 m. In coastal areas where larger maximum storm surges were estimated, the longitudinally perturbed “worst-case course” appeared 0.4–0.8° west or east of the “hit course”, indicating that the wind setup effect was an important factor in the maximum storm surge. The distance of the worst-case course from the hit course was almost the same as the radius of the maximum wind of Typhoon Jebi. Although the models had similar worstcase courses for each coastal area, the meteorological model estimated a slightly higher simulated maximum storm surge than the parametric TC model. For the main island, Kyushu, and Shikoku, approximately 6 % of the maximum storm surges exceeded 2.00 m. Although these values may differ for other typhoons and sampling points, it is important to estimate the maximum storm surges and worst-case courses at all coastal areas, including regions where storm surges by typhoons are unknown yet they occurred, because this will provide important information enabling effective disaster prevention and risk management.

台風科学技術研究センターとタイフーンショット計画

筆保弘徳

産学官連携ジャーナル 18 ( 8 ) 4 - 7 2022

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：国立研究開発法人科学技術振興機構 Single Work

※本記事に抄録はありません。

RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN UNIFORMLY INCREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND RECURRENCE WIND SPEED BASED ON STATISTICAL TYPHOON SIMULATION

KOBAYASHI Toshiyuki, YAMADA Hitoshi, KATSUCHI Hiroshi, FUDEYASU Hironori

Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. A1 (Structural Engineering & Earthquake Engineering (SE/EE)) 77 ( 2 ) 243 - 254 2021 [Reviewed]

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Japan Society of Civil Engineers Joint Work

Increasing sea surface temperatures (SST) caused by global warming might affect the recurrence wind speed by typhoon. Because the future spatial distribution of SST is uncertain, we proposed a method for uniformly increasing SST for use as the boundary condition of typhoon model. The output of statistical typhoon simulation with uniform increase of SST yielded the typhoon intensity, as did the model based on physical processes. Furthermore, estimation of the relation between the amount of SST increase and recurrence wind speed of typhoons was conducted using statistical typhoon simulation with uniformly increasing SST. Results show that 400-year recurrence wind speed will be less than the 100-year recurrence value in areas except Okinawa and northern Japan by the end of the 21st century.

Intensity and Structural Changes of Numerically Simulated Typhoon Faxai (1915) before Landfall

MIYAMOTO Yoshiaki, FUDEYASU Hironori, WADA Akiyoshi

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II 100 ( 1 ) 181 - 196 2021 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Meteorological Society of Japan Joint Work

A numerical simulation of Typhoon Faxai (1915), which made landfall with a central pressure of 960 hPa in the Kanto region of Japan, was conducted using a nonhydrostatic numerical model with a 1-km grid spacing. Faxai sustained a symmetric structure until the landfall and caused severe damage due to strong winds. The simulation successfully simulated the realistic track and intensity of Faxai for 48 h around landfall. The simulated intensity was strong until the time of landfall, and the spatial size of the vortex was small. The structure of the simulated Faxai, identified as having an axisymmetric flow field and eyewall, was similar to that of a welldeveloped tropical cyclone (TC) in the tropics. Around the TC center, the surface latent heat flux was over 300 W m−2 until landfall, and the vertical wind shear was less than 9 m s−1 between the 1.5- and 12.0-km altitudes, which is relatively weak at midlatitudes. The maximum potential intensity (MPI) was calculated using environmental parameters around the simulated TC. The simulated and best track TC intensities exceeded the MPI for approximately 12 h before landfall, that is, the TC was in a superintense state. The superintensity was mainly caused by the presence of supergradient wind, which, in turn, resulted from the strong intensity and axisymmetric structure of the typhoon. The simulated TC satisfies the assumptions for the formulation of the MPI during the quasi-steady state, except for the gradient wind balance, implying that the structure of a TC is similar to that of a developed TC in the tropics. The present analyses suggest that the strong intensity of Faxai results from favorable environmental conditions and vortex structure.

Future Changes in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis Environment in High-Resolution Large-Ensemble Simulations

Fudeyasu, H; Yoshida, K; Yoshida, R

OCEANS-SWITZERLAND 1 ( 4 ) 355 - 368 2020.12

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

The Diurnal Cycle of Clouds in Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific Basin

Fukuda Kohei, Yasunaga Kazuaki, Oyama Ryo, Wada Akiyoshi, Hamada Atsushi, Fudeyasu Hironori

SOLA 16 ( 0 ) 109 - 114 2020.5 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：公益社団法人日本気象学会 Joint Work

This study examined the diurnal cycles of brightness temperature (TB) and upper-level horizontal winds associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific basin, making use of data retrieved from geostationary-satellite (Himawari-8) observations that exhibited unprecedented temporal and spatial resolutions. The results of a spectral analysis revealed that diurnal cycles prevail in TB variations over the outer regions of TCs (300-500 km from the storm center). The dominance of the diurnal cycle was also found in variations in the radial wind (Vr) in intensive TCs, although there was no dominant cycle in tangential wind variation. In addition, coherence spectra demonstrated that the diurnal cycles of TB and Vr are significantly coupled in intensive TCs. The migration speed of TB and Vr anomalies exceeded the time-mean Vr, and it was speculated that diurnal cycle signals propagate (i.e., are not advected) toward the outer regions of TCs.

Other Link： https://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/130007868918

How Significant are Low-Level Flow Patterns in Tropical Cyclone Genesis over the Western North Pacific?

Yoshida Ryuji, Fudeyasu Hironori

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW 148 ( 2 ) 559 - 576 2020.2 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Development Conditions for Tropical Storms over the Western North Pacific Stratified by Large-Scale Flow Patterns

FUDEYASU Hironori, YOSHIDA Ryuji, YAMAGUCHI Munehiko, EITO Hisaki, MUROI Chiashi, NISHIMURA Syuji, … Show more authors

気象集誌. 第2輯 2020

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：公益社団法人日本気象学会 Joint Work

This study investigated the characteristics and environmental conditions of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific from 2009 to 2017 that dissipated before reaching tropical storm strength (TDs) under unfavorable environmental conditions; we compared these with TCs that reached tropical storm strength (TSs) in terms of modulations of relevant large-scale flow patterns. The flow patterns were categorized based on five factors: shear line, confluence region, monsoon gyre, easterly waves, and Rossby wave energy dispersion from a preexisting cyclone. Among 476 cases, 263 TDs were detected using best-track data and early stage Dvorak analysis. The TCs in the environments associated with the confluence region or Rossby wave energy dispersion (easterly waves) tended to reach tropical storm strength (remain weak) compared with the other factors. The average locations of TDs at the time of cyclogenesis in the confluence region, monsoon gyre, and easterly waves (Rossby wave energy dispersion) in the summer and autumn were farther to the west (east and north) than those of TSs that exhibited the same factors. The environments around TDs were less favorable for development than those of TSs, as there were significant differences in atmospheric (oceanic) environmental parameters between TDs and TSs in the factors of confluence region, easterly waves, and Rossby wave energy dispersion (shear line, monsoon gyre, and Rossby wave energy dispersion). The environmental conditions for reaching tropical storm strength over their developing stage, using five factors, can be summarized as follows: higher tropical cyclone heat potential in the shear line and monsoon gyre, weak vertical shear in the confluence region, wet conditions in the easterly waves, and higher sea surface temperatures and an intense preexisting cyclone in Rossby wave energy dispersion from a preexisting cyclone.

Other Link： https://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/130007731494

Improvement of Central Pressure Difference Reproducibility in Typhoon Tracking Simulation Model considering Sea-Surface Temperature Properties

KOBAYASHI Toshiyuki, YAMADA Hitoshi, KATSUCHI Hiroshi, FUDEYASU Hironori

Journal of Wind Engineering 45 ( 2 ) 54 - 65 2020

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Japan Association for Wind Engineering Joint Work

Sea surface temperature change due to the global warming may affect the development of typhoons. In order to estimate extreme wind speed, a tracking model of typhoon simulation considering the sea surface temperature was developed before, but there were some discrepancies between estimation and observation. In this study, from the viewpoint of characteristics of a linear model in the updating calculation, data period for the modeling was restricted to summer based on the number of typhoons approaching to Japan. Focusing on the latitude of 31.5 degrees north where almost all typhoons start to weaken, the termination condition of the typhoons was clarified. In addition, if the value calculated by updating calculation in the model exceeds the threshold, it was recalculated from the time of occurrence of a typhoon. As a result, the typhoon central pressure difference approached the observed value by applying these improvements to the tracking model.

Other Link： https://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/130007970972

Future Changes in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis Environment in high-resolution large-ensemble simulations

Fudeyasu H., K. Yoshida K. and R. Yoshida

oceans 1 355 - 368 2020 [Reviewed]

Authorship：Lead author Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Single Work

Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Upper Tropospheric Cold Lows and Tropical Cyclone Genesis over the Western North Pacific

Fudeyasu Hironori, Yoshida Ryuji

JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN 97 ( 2 ) 439 - 451 2019.4

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Impacts of Typhoon Characteristics on Typhoon Intensity Estimation Using Deep Learning

KASE Koki, FUDEYASU Hironori, KITAMOTO Asanobu, CHEN Danlan, YOSHIDA Ryuji, TAKEMI Tetsuya

Tenki 66 ( 1 ) 51 - 58 2019

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Meteorological Society of Japan Joint Work

Other Link： https://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/130007605236

Improvement of Full-track Simulation of Typhoon

Kobayashi Toshiyuki, Yamada Hitoshi, Katsuchi Hiroshi, Fudeyasu Hironori

Summaries to Technical Papers of Annual Meeting, Japan Association for Wind Engineering 2019 ( 0 ) 151 - 152 2019

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Japan Association for Wind Engineering Joint Work

Global warming influences sea surface temperature which intensifies typhoons and may change extreme value distribution of wind speed. In order to simulate typhoons affected by sea surface temperature, full-track type typhoon simulation is very effective measures. The effect of sea surface temperature on the extreme value distribution was evaluated by a past typhoon simulation. However, errors tend to accumulate because the typhoon paths simulated is long. In this study, a new model of the central pressure difference was proposed. The result showed that central pressure calculated by the new model is close to observed values.

Other Link： https://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/130007662567

Rainfall Forecasting by using Residual Network with Cloud Image and Humidity

Tsukahara Jun, Fujimoto Yasutaka, Fudeyasu Hironori

2019 IEEE 17TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INDUSTRIAL INFORMATICS (INDIN) 331 - 336 2019 [Reviewed]

Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification over the Western North Pacific

Fudeyasu Hironori, Ito Kosuke, Miyamoto Yoshiaki

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 31 ( 21 ) 8917 - 8930 2018.11

DOI Web of Science

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

A VALIDATION OF REGIONAL ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN COUPLING MODEL

MORIYAMA Fumiaki, YOSHIMURA Kei, FUDEYASU Hironori

Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering) 74 ( 4 ) I_157 - I_162 2018

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Japan Society of Civil Engineers Joint Work

We conducted dynamical downscaling simulations for 20 years over the Asian CORDEX domain to validate uncertainty of RSM-ROMS, a regional atmosphere and ocean coupled climate model. We compared some surface quantities simulated by RSM-ROMS with observation data sets or simulated result by RSM, a regional atmosphere climate model. The results are summarized as follows.  1) The coupled model had some systematic negative bias for observed sea surface temperature (SST), but the correlation coefficient was over 0.99 and the model reasonably captured the interannual and seasonal variations. In addition, power spectrum suggested a detailed SST structure.  2) The ocean coupling increased a tendency to overestimate precipitation over the mountainous area. On the other hand, the coupled model more accurately reproduced precipitation over the oceans.  3) Although there was cool bias of sea water temperature (SWT) more than 4 degrees Celsius at 100m depth, the coupled model captured interannual validations of SWT as similar as those of SST. This SWT bias is larger than seasonal variations, and it indicates there is uncertainty in the coupled model.  4) Net heat flux was improved in the coupled model, especially in subtropical and tropical areas but got worse in middle latitude areas.

Other Link： https://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/130007628208

The Analysis of The Initial Data Dependence on Forecast Experiments for The Tropical Cyclogenesis : The Case Study of Typhoon Leepi (1304) Observed by PALAU2013

TENKI 64 ( 12 ) 873 - 885 2017.11 [Reviewed]

CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Characteristics Stratified by Genesis Environment

Fudeyasu H., and R. Yoshida

Mon. Wea. Rev. 146 ( 2 ) 435 - 446 2017.11 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC Joint Work

Assessing Typhoon Wind Hazard : Development of Typhoon Nomogram

YAMAZAKI Shota,FUDEYASU Hironori,KATO Masaya,TAKEMI Tetsuya,KIYOHARA Yasutomo

Journal of Wind Engineering 42 ( 4 ) 121 - 133 2017.7 [Reviewed]

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Japan Association for Wind Engineering Joint Work

Other Link： https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jwe/42/4/42_121/_article/-char/ja/

A multi-model intercomparison of an intense typhoon in future, warmer climates by four 5-km-mesh models

Kanada S., T. Takemi, M. Kato, S. Yamasaki, H. Fudeyasu,K. Tsuboki, O. Arakawa, and I. Takayabu

Journal of Climate 2017.4 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Review of downslope windstorms in Japan

Kusaka H., and H. Fudeyasu

Wind and Structures 24 ( 6 ) 637 - 656 2017.3 [Reviewed] [Invited]

DOI Web of Science

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：TECHNO-PRESS Joint Work

Tropical Cyclone Landfall in Japan during 1900-2014

KUMAZAWA Rie,FUDEYASU Hironori,KUBOTA Naoyuki

TENKI 63 ( 11 ) 855 - 861 2016.11 [Reviewed]

CiNii Research J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Quantification and Classification of Surface Flow Observed in the Experiments with a Differentially Heated Rotating Fluid Annulus

MASUDA Ayumi,FUDEYASU Hironori,OTOBE Naohito

62 ( 10 ) 869 - 880 2015.11 [Reviewed]

CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

A Global View of the Landfall Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones

Fudeyasu, H., S. Hirose, H. Yoshioka, R. Kumazawa, and S. Yamasaki,

Tropical Cyclone Research and Review ( 3 ) 178 - 192 2015 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Method to quantitatively detect the features of baroclinic waves observed in the experiments with a differentially heated rotating fluid annulus

2014.11 [Reviewed]

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Method to quantitatively detect the features of baroclinic waves observed in the experiments with a differentially heated rotating fluid annulus

FUDEYASU Hironori,MASUDA Ayumi,OTOBE Naoto,KUMAZAWA Rie,NISHINO Koichi

33 ( 6 ) 549 - 550 2014.10 [Reviewed]

J-GLOBAL

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Migration Process and 3D Wind Field of Precipitation Systems Associated with a Diurnal Cycle in West Sumatera: Dual Doppler Radar Analysis During the HARIMAU2006 Campaign

Sakurai, N., S. Mori, M. Kawashima, Y. Fujiyoshi, J.-I. Hamada, S. Shimizu, H. Fudeyasu, Y. Tabata, … Show more authors

J. Meteo. Soc. Jap 89 ( 4 ) 341 - 361 2011.8 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：The Meteorogical Society of Japan Joint Work

Other Link： https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jmsj/89/4/89_4_341/_article

Contribution by balanced dynamics to the intensification of a tropical cyclone simulated in TCM4: Outer core spin-up process

H. Fudeyasu, Y. Wang

J. Atom. Sience 430 - 449 2011.1 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Meteorological Society Joint Work

Effects of large-scale moisture transport and mesoscale processes on precipitation isotope ratios observed at Sumatera, Indonesia.

H. Fudeyasu, K. Ichiyanagi, K. Yoshimura, S. Mori, N. Sakurai, J.-I. Hamada, M. D. Yamanaka, J. Mat … Show more authors

J. Meteo. Soc. Jap 89A ( SI ) 49 - 59 2010.10 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：METEOROLOGICAL SOC JAPAN Joint Work

Other Link： https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jmsj/89A/0/89A_0_49/_article

Convective systems developed along the coastline of Sumatera Island, Indonesia, observed with an X-band Doppler radar during the HARIMAU2006 campaign

Mori, S., Hamada J.-I., N. Sakurai, H. Fudeyasu, M. Kawashima, H. Hashiguchi, S. Fadli, A. Ardhi, R … Show more authors

J. Meteo. Soc. Jap 89A ( SI ) 61 - 81 2010.9 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：The Meteorogical Society of Japan Joint Work

Other Link： https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jmsj/89A/0/89A_0_61/_article

Multiscale Interactions in the Lifecycle of a Tropical Cyclone simulated in a global cloud-system-resolving model: Part I: Large-scale and Storm-scale Evolutions

Y. Wang, M. Satoh, T. Nasuno, H. Miura, W. Yanase,H.Fudeyasu

Mon. Wea. Rev. 4285 - 4304 2010.7 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Meteorological Society Joint Work

Multiscale Interactions in the Lifecycle of a Tropical Cyclone simulated in a global cloud-system-resolving model: Part II: System-Scale and Mesoscale Processes

Y. Wang, M. Satoh, T. Nasuno, H. Miura, W. Yanase, H. Fudeyasu

Mon. Wea. Rev. 4305 - 4327 2010.7 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Meteorological Society Joint Work

The Roles of Typhoon Songda (2004) in producing distantly-located heavy rainfall in Japan

Y.Q. Wang, Y. Wang Hironori Fudeyasu

Mon. Wea. Rev. 137 ( 11 ) 3699 - 3716 2009.11 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Meteorological Society Joint Work

An MJO Simulated by the NICAM at 14-km and 7-km Resolutions

Liu, P., M. Satoh, B. Wang, H. Fudeyasu, T. Nasuno, T. Li, H. Miura, H. Taniguchi, H. Masunaga, X. … Show more authors

Mon. Wea. Rev 137 3254 - 3268 2009.10 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Meteorological Society Joint Work

Genesis of Tropical Cyclone Nargis revealed by multiple satellite observations

Kikuchi, K., B. Wang, and H. Fudeyasu

Geophys. Res. Lett 36 ( 6 ) L06811 - L06811-5 2009.3 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Geophysical Union Joint Work

Evaluation of Urban Thermal Environments in Commercial and Residential Spaces in Okayama City, Japan, Using the Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature Index

Ohashi, Y., T. Kawabe, Y. Shigeta, Y. Hirano, H. Kusaka, H. Fudeyasu, and K. Fukao

Theoretical and Applied Climatology 95 ( 3 ) 279–289 2009.3 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Springer Joint Work

Other Link： http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-008-0006-8

Global cloud-system-resolving model NICAM successfully simulated the lifecycles of two real tropical cyclones

Hironori Fudeyasu,Yuqing Wang,Masaki Satoh,Tomoe Nasuno,Hiroaki Miura,Wataru Yanase

Geophysical Research Letters 35 L22808 2008.11 [Reviewed]

DOI

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Geophysical Union Joint Work

Other Link： http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2008GL036003/full

Isotope Ratios of Precipitation and Water Vapor observed in Typhoon Shanshan

Fudeyasu, H., K. Ichiyanagi, A. Sugimoto, K. Yoshimura, A. Ueta, M.D. Yamanaka, and K. Ozawa

Journal of Geophysical Research 113 ( D12 ) D12113 2008.6 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Geophysical Union Joint Work

Numerical study of the local downslope wind "Hirodo-kaze" in Japan

Fudeyasu, H., T. Kuwagata, Y. Ohashi, S. Suzuki, Y. Kiyohara, and Y. Hozumi

Monthly Weather Review 136 ( 1 ) 27 - 40 2008.1 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Meteorological Society Joint Work

The Global Cloud-System-Resolving Model NICAM Successfully Simulated the Lifecycles of Two Real Tropical Cyclones

Fudeyasu, H., Y. Wang, M. Satoh, T. Nasuno, H. Miura, and W. Yanase

Geophysical Research Letters 35 ( 22 ) L22808 2008 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Geophysical Union Joint Work

Meso-β-scale pressure dips associated with typhoons

Fudeyasu, H., S. Iizuka, and T. Hayashi

Monthly Weather Review 135 ( 4 ) 1225 - 1250 2007.4 [Reviewed]

DOI J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：American Meteorological Society Joint Work

Other Link： http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR3337.1

The Impact of Trans-equatorial Monsoon Flow on the Formation of Repeated Torrential Rains over Java Island

Wu, P., M. Hara, H. Fudeyasu, M.D. Yamanaka, J. Matsumoto, F. Syamsudin, R. Sulistyowati, and Y. S. … Show more authors

SOLA 3 93 - 96 2007.3 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science CiNii Research J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：METEOROLOGICAL SOC JPN Joint Work

Other Link： https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/3/0/3_0_93/_article

Impact of ENSO on landfall characteristics of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific during the summer monsoon season

Fudeyasu, H., S. Iizuka, and T. Matsuura

Geophys. Res. Lett. 33 ( 21 ) L21815 2006.11 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science J-GLOBAL

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION Joint Work

Other Link： http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2006GL027449/abstract

Seasonality of westward-propagating disturbances over Southeast and South Asia originated from typhoons

Fudeyasu, H., S. Iizuka, and T. Matsuura

Geophys. Res. Lett. 33 ( 10 ) L10809 2006.5 [Reviewed]

DOI Web of Science

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION Joint Work

Other Link： http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2005GL025380/abstract

人・自然・地球共生プロジェクト－水循環変動予想ミッション

松浦知徳、中根和郎、飯塚聡、筆保弘徳、黄文峰、川村隆一、Ying Noh、原田信、牟田研二、大場良二

「新世紀重点研究創世プラン」平成15年度共生プロジェクト報告書 33 - 43 2004.3

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：文部科学省 Joint Work

人・自然・地球共生プロジェクトの年次研究報告書で、研究計画3年目にあたる今年の成果を報告。申請者が所属するサブテーマ2では、主に大気と海洋を結合したモデル開発に取り組み、完成したことを発表する。

Concentrations of Rn, its short-lived daughters and 212Pb and their rations under complex atmospheric conditions and topography

Academic Publishers Boundary-Layer Meteorology 107 219 - 249 2003.4 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Kluwer Joint Work

台風内で発生するメソβスケールPressure dipの発達メカニズム

筆保弘徳、林泰一

平成14年度京都大学防災研究所年報 479 - 487 2003.3

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：京都大学防災研究所 Joint Work

これまで行ってきた「プレッシャーディップ現象」の研究をまとめた論文。観測、統計解析、数値シミュレーションの手法からそれぞれ解明された結果を統合し、発生メカニズム「中緯度偏西風と台風の相互作用で発生する断熱昇温説」を提案した。

Variability in winter coastal winds simulated by MM5

Yamashita, T., S. Kato, T. Osawa, H. Fudeyasu, and H. Nishiguchi

49 186 - 190 2002.10 [Reviewed]

DOI CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：Japan Society of Civil Engineers Joint Work

Other Link： https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/proce1989/49/0/49_0_186/_article/-char/ja/

レーダー観測に基づく台風0111号の内部構造の研究

筆保弘徳、手柴充博、河野宜幸、橋口浩之、深尾昌一郎、林泰一

気象学会関西支部第4回例会論文集 37 - 40 2002.6

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：気象学会関西支部 Joint Work

京都大学生存圏研究所のMUレーダ(岐阜県)により平成13年の台風11号を観測し、本論文では観測結果の速報を紹介した。中緯度まで北上した台風は、軸対称構造をくずし変形をするが、本事例では中緯度偏西風帯から乾燥した空気塊が台風後方からまきこまれる様子を観測していた。

Numerical Model Simulations of a Pressure Dip within Typhoon

Disaster Prevention Research Institute Annuals. 45 ( B ) 479 - 487 2002.3

CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (bulletin of university, research institution) Publisher：Kyoto University Joint Work

Experimental study of the downslope wind (Hiroto-kaze) occurrence at Mt. Nagi.

Nakamura, M., M. Joko, O. Tsukamoto, T. Kanamori, K. Azuma, K. Kawata, H. Kimura, N. Kamei, T. Kama … Show more authors

TENKI 49 129 - 139 2002.2 [Reviewed]

CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：The Meteorogical Society of Japan Joint Work

Short-lived daughters and PB and their rations under complex atmospheric conditions and topography

Kataoka, T., E. Yunoki, N. Shimizu, T. Mori, O. Tsukamoto, S. Takahashi, H. Fudeyasu, Y. Ohashi,K. … Show more authors

Boundary-Layer Meteorol 2002 [Reviewed]

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

Pressure dipの統計解析

筆保弘徳、林泰一

気象学会関西支部第3回例会論文集 26 - 30 2001.6

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Publisher：気象学会関西支部 Joint Work

過去20年の日本付近まで接近した台風92個を調べ、「プレッシャーディップ現象」発生の有無を調べ、統計解析を行った。プレッシャーディップ現象は秋の台風のみに発生し、発生頻度は約10％であった。そのプレッシャーディップ発生場所は、すべて台風中心から北東象限にあることが明らかになった。

General characteristics of Pressure dip occurred within Typhoon

H.Fudeyasu,T. Hayashi

Disaster Prevention Research Institute Annuals. 44 ( B-1 ) 159 - 169 2001.3

CiNii Research

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (bulletin of university, research institution) Publisher：Kyoto University Joint Work

Pressure dip observe in the Typhoon 9810

Fudeyasu, H., and O. Tsukamoto

47 443 - 452 2000.4 [Reviewed]

Language：Japanese Publishing type：Research paper (scientific journal) Joint Work

岡山大学構内における地温および河川水温の日変化・季節変化の測定

塚本修、高橋聡司、鍋倉誠、筆保弘徳

岡山大学環境計測共同利用施設年報「しぶかわ」 19 3 - 6 1998.11

CiNii Research

Language：English Publishing type：Research paper (bulletin of university, research institution) Publisher：岡山大学 Joint Work

岡山大学構内の河川と地中深さ1mに温度計を設置した水温・地温観測を1年間行い、日変化と季節変化を報告した。地温と水温の変化を比べると、日変化・季節変化ともに地温の方が大きいことが明らかになった。また、大雨後の河川水量が増加した時に水温が下がることを示し、河川上流で山岳からの水温の低い水が加わるためだと考察した。

To the head of this page.▲

<FUDEYASU Hironori>

Papers - FUDEYASU Hironori